Exchange Rate Fluctuations, 1.371 Million New Nonfarm Payroll Jobs in
August and 1.027 Million New Private Payroll Jobs, Thirty-Five Million
Unemployed or Underemployed in the Lost Economic Cycle of the Global Recession
with Economic Growth Underperforming Below Trend Worldwide, Unemployment Rate
8.4 Percent in Aug In the Global Recession, with Output in the US Reaching a High
in Feb 2020 (https://www.nber.org/cycles.html), in the Lockdown
of Economic Activity in the COVID-19 Event, Job Creation, Cyclically Stagnating
Real Wages, Increase of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures of 1.6 Percent
in Jul, Cyclically Stagnating Real Disposable Income Per Capita, Financial
Repression, World Cyclical Slow Growth, and Government Intervention in
Globalization: Part V
Carlos M. Pelaez
© Carlos M. Pelaez, 2009,
2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020.
I Thirty-Five Million Unemployed or
Underemployed in the Lost Economic Cycle of the Global Recession with Economic
Growth Underperforming
Below Trend Worldwide
IA2 Number of People in Job Stress
IA3 Long-term and
Cyclical Comparison of Employment
IA4 Job Creation
II Stagnating Real Disposable Income and Consumption Expenditures
IIB1 Stagnating Real
Disposable Income and Consumption Expenditures
IB2 Financial Repression
III World Financial Turbulence
IV Global Inflation
V World Economic
Slowdown
VA United States
VB Japan
VC China
VD Euro Area
VE Germany
VF France
VG Italy
VH United Kingdom
VI Valuation of Risk
Financial Assets
VII Economic
Indicators
VIII Interest Rates
IX Conclusion
References
Appendixes
Appendix I The Great Inflation
IIIB Appendix on Safe
Haven Currencies
IIIC Appendix on
Fiscal Compact
IIID Appendix on European
Central Bank Large Scale Lender of Last Resort
IIIG Appendix on Deficit Financing of Growth and the
Debt Crisis
Table III-1, updated with every comment in this blog,
provides beginning values on Aug 28 and daily values throughout the week ending
on Sep 4, 2020, of various financial assets. Section VI Valuation of Risk
Financial Assets provides a set of more complete values. All data are for New
York time at the close of business. The first column provides the value on Fri
Aug 28, 2020 and the percentage change in that prior week below the label of
the financial risk asset. For example, the first column “Fri Aug 28, 2020,”
first row “USD/EUR 1.1907 -0.9% -0.7%,” provides the information that the US
dollar (USD) depreciated 0.9 percent to USD 1.1907/EUR in the week ending on Aug
28 relative to the exchange rate on Aug 21 and depreciated 0.7 percent relative
to Thu Aug 27. The first five asset rows provide five key exchange rates versus
the dollar and the percentage cumulative appreciation (positive change or no
sign) or depreciation (negative change or negative sign). Positive changes
constitute appreciation of the relevant exchange rate and negative changes
depreciation. The most important source of financial turbulence is shifting
toward fluctuating interest rates in the global recession, with output in the
US reaching a high in Feb 2020 (https://www.nber.org/cycles.html), in the
lockdown of economic activity in the COVID-19 event. The dollar/euro rate is
quoted as number of US dollars USD per euro EUR, USD 1.1907/EUR in the first
row, first column in the block for currencies in Table III-1 for Aug 28, depreciating
to USD 1.1937/EUR on Mon Aug 31, 2020, or by 0.3 percent. The dollar depreciated
because more dollars, $1.1937, were required on Mon Aug 31 to buy one euro than
$1.1907 on Fri Aug 28. Table III-1 defines a country’s exchange rate as number
of units of domestic currency per unit of foreign currency. USD/EUR would be
the definition of the exchange rate of the US and the inverse [1/(USD/EUR)] is
the definition in this convention of the rate of exchange of the euro zone,
EUR/USD. A convention used throughout this blog is required to maintain
consistency in characterizing movements of the exchange rate such as in Table
III-1 as appreciation and depreciation. The first row for each of the
currencies shows the market closing exchange rate at New York time, such as USD
1.1907/EUR on Aug 28. The second row provides the cumulative percentage
appreciation or depreciation of the exchange rate from the rate on the last
business day of the prior week, in this case Aug 28, to the last business day
of the current week, in this case Sep 4, such as appreciation of 0.6 percent to
USD 1.1841/EUR by Sep 4. The third row provides the percentage change from the
prior business day to the current business day. For example, the USD appreciated
(denoted by positive sign) by 0.6 percent from the rate of USD 1.1907/EUR on
Fri Aug 28 to the rate of USD 1.1841 on Sep 4 {[(1.1841/1.1907) - 1]100 = -0.6%}.
The dollar appreciated (denoted by positive sign) by 0.1 percent from the rate
of USD 1.1854 on Thu Sep 3 to USD 1.1841/EUR on Fri Sep 4 {[(1.1841/1.1854)
-1]100 = -0.1%}. Other factors constant, increasing risk aversion causes
appreciation of the dollar relative to the euro, with rising uncertainty on
European and global sovereign risks increasing dollar-denominated assets with
sales of risk financial investments. On Aug 27, 2020, the Federal Open
Market Committee changed its Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy,
including the following (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/review-of-monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-statement-on-longer-run-goals-monetary-policy-strategy.htm): “The
Committee judges that longer-term inflation expectations that are well anchored
at 2 percent foster price stability and moderate long-term interest rates and
enhance the Committee's ability to promote maximum employment in the face of
significant economic disturbances. In order to anchor longer-term inflation
expectations at this level, the Committee seeks to achieve inflation that
averages 2 percent over time, and therefore judges that, following periods when
inflation has been running persistently below 2 percent, appropriate monetary
policy will likely aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some
time.” The new policy can affect relative exchange rates depending on relative
inflation rates and country risk issues.
There is mixed
performance in equity indexes with several indexes in Table III-1 oscillating
sharply in the week ending on Sep 4, 2020, after wide swings caused by
reallocations of investment portfolios worldwide. The global
recession, with output in the US reaching a high in Feb 2020 (https://www.nber.org/cycles.html), in the
lockdown of economic activity in the COVID-19 event, is having strong effects
in the economy and financial markets. Stagnating revenues, corporate cash hoarding,
effects of currency oscillations on corporate earnings and declining investment
are causing reevaluation of discounted net earnings with deteriorating views on
the world economy and United States fiscal sustainability but investors have
been driving indexes higher. There are complex economic, financial and
political effects of the withdrawal of the UK from the European Union or BREXIT
after the referendum on Jun 23, 2016 (https://next.ft.com/eu-referendum for extensive
coverage by the Financial Times).
Nuclear conflicts in the Korean Peninsula and global geopolitics are also
affecting financial markets. An immediate factor is the path of raising
interest rates by the Fed, becoming a path of decreasing interest rates with
increasing balance sheet. On Aug 27, 2020, the Federal Open
Market Committee changed its Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy,
including the following (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/review-of-monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-statement-on-longer-run-goals-monetary-policy-strategy.htm): “The
Committee judges that longer-term inflation expectations that are well anchored
at 2 percent foster price stability and moderate long-term interest rates and
enhance the Committee's ability to promote maximum employment in the face of
significant economic disturbances. In order to anchor longer-term inflation
expectations at this level, the Committee seeks to achieve inflation that
averages 2 percent over time, and therefore judges that, following periods when
inflation has been running persistently below 2 percent, appropriate monetary
policy will likely aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some
time.” The new policy can affect relative exchange rates depending on relative
inflation rates and country risk issues. DJIA decreased 0.6 percent on Sep 4, decreasing
1.8 percent in the week. Germany’s DAX decreased 1.6 percent on Sep 4 and decreased
1.5 percent in the week. Dow Global decreased 0.6 percent on Sep 4 and decreased
1.8 percent in the week. Japan’s Nikkei Average decreased 1.1 percent on Sep 4
and increased 1.4 percent in the week of Sep 4, as the yen continues
oscillating and the stock market gains in expectations of success of fiscal
stimulus by a new administration and monetary stimulus by a new board of the
Bank of Japan. Shanghai Composite that decreased 1.0 percent
on Mar 8 and decreased 1.7 percent in the week of Mar 8, falling below 2000 at
1974.38 on Mar 12, 2014 but closing at 3355.37 on Sep 4, 2020 for decrease of 0.9
percent and decreasing 1.4 percent in the week. The Shanghai Composite
increased 69.9 percent from March 12, 2014 to Sep 4, 2020. There is
deceleration with oscillations of the world economy that could affect corporate
revenue and equity valuations, causing fluctuations in equity markets with
increases during favorable risk appetite. The global hunt for yield induced by
central bank policy rates of near zero percent motivates wide portfolio
reshufflings among classes of risk financial assets.
Commodities were mixed in the week of Sep 4,
2020. Table III-1 shows that WTI decreased 7.4 percent in the week of Sep 4
while Brent decreased 6.9 percent in the week with turmoil in oil producing
regions but oscillating action by OPEC now in negotiations with Russia. Gold decreased
0.2 percent on Sep 4 and decreased 2.1 percent in the week of Sep 4.
Table III-I,
Weekly Financial Risk Aug 31 to Sep 4, 2020
Fri 28 |
Mon 31 |
Tue 01 |
Wed 02 |
Thu 03 |
Fri 04 |
USD/EUR 1.1907 -0.9% -0.7% |
1.1937 -0.3% -0.3% |
1.1913 -0.1% 0.2% |
1.1857 0.4% 0.5% |
1.1854 0.4% 0.0% |
1.1841 0.6% 0.1% |
JPY/ USD 105.37 0.4% 1.1% |
105.90 -0.5% -0.5% |
105.96 -0.6% -0.1% |
106.18 -0.8% -0.2% |
106.19 -0.8% 0.0% |
106.24 -0.8% 0.0% |
CHF/ USD 0.9041 0.8% 0.5% |
0.9037 0.0% 0.0% |
0.9093 -0.6% -0.6% |
0.9108 -0.7% -0.2% |
0.9093 -0.6% 0.2% |
0.9135 -1.0% -0.5% |
CHF/EUR 1.0766 -0.1% -0.2% |
1.0790 -0.2% -0.2% |
1.0838 -0.7% -0.4% |
1.0799 -0.3% 0.4% |
1.0778 -0.1% 0.2% |
1.0814 -0.4% -0.3% |
USD/ AUD 0.7365 1.3578 2.8% 1.4% |
0.7376 1.3557 0.2% 0.2% |
0.7374 1.3561 0.1% 0.0% |
0.7338 1.3628 -0.4% -0.5% |
0.7275 1.3746 -1.2% -0.9% |
0.7283 1.3731 -1.1% 0.1% |
10Y Note 0.733 |
0.702 |
0.673 |
0.646 |
0.618 |
0.722 |
2Y Note 0.156 |
0.129 |
0.117 |
0.137 |
0.125 |
0.161 |
German Bond 2Y -0.66
10Y-0.41 |
2Y -0.65 10Y
-0.39 |
2Y -0.67 10Y
-0.41 |
2Y -0.69 10Y
-0.47 |
2Y -0.71 10Y
-0.49 |
2Y -0.70
10Y-0.47 |
DJIA 28653.87 2.6% 0.6% |
28430.05 -0.8% -0.8% |
28645.66 0.0% 0.8% |
29100.50 1.6% 1.6% |
28292.73 -1.3% -2.8% |
28133.31 -1.8% -0.6% |
Dow Global 3111.97 2.8% 0.6% |
3095.82 -0.5% -0.5% |
3103.42 -0.3% 0.2% |
3129.26 0.6% 0.8% |
3075.06 -1.2% -1.7% |
3055.14 -1.8% -0.6% |
DJ Asia
Pacific NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
Nikkei 22882.65 -0.2% -1.4% |
23139.76 1.1% 1.1% |
23138.07 1.1% 0.0% |
23247.15 1.6% 0.5% |
23465.53 2.5% 0.9% |
23205.43 1.4% -1.1% |
Shanghai 3403.81 0.7% 1.6% |
3395.68 -0.2% -0.2% |
3410.61 0.2% 0.4% |
3404.80 0.0% -0.2% |
3384.98 -0.6% -0.6% |
3355.37 -1.4% -0.9% |
DAX 13033.20 2.1% -0.5% |
12945.38 -0.7% -0.7% |
12974.25 -0.5% 0.2% |
13243.43 1.6% 2.1% |
13057.77 0.2% -1.4% |
12842.66 -1.5% -1.6% |
BOVESPA 102142.93 0.6% 1.5% |
99369.15 -2.7% -2.7% |
102167.65 0.0% 2.8% |
101911.13 -0.2% -0.3% |
100721.36 -1.4% -1.2% |
101241.73 -0.9% 0.5% |
DJ UBS Comm. NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
WTI $/B 42.97 1.5% -0.2% |
42.61 -0.8% -0.8% |
42.76 -0.5% 0.4% |
41.51 -3.4% -2.9% |
41.37 -3.7% -0.3% |
39.77 -7.4% -3.9% |
Brent $/B 45.81 3.3% 0.5% |
45.28 -1.2% -1.2% |
45.58 -0.5% 0.7% |
44.43 -3.0% -2.5% |
44.07 -3.8% -0.8% |
42.66 -6.9% -3.2% |
Gold 1974.9 1.4% 2.2% |
1978.6 0.2% 0.2% |
1978.9 0.2% 0.0% |
1944.7 -1.5% -1.7% |
1937.8 -1.9% -0.4% |
1934.3 -2.1% -0.2% |
Note: USD: US dollar; JPY: Japanese Yen; CHF: Swiss
Franc; AUD:
Australian dollar; Comm.: commodities; OZ: ounce
Sources: http://professional.wsj.com/mdc/page/marketsdata.html?mod=WSJ_hps_marketdata
Chart
III-1C provides the yields of the ten-year, two-year, one-month Treasury
Constant Maturity, and the overnight Fed funds rate from Jan 2, 1962 to Sep 3,
2020. The final data point is for Sep 3, 2020 with the Fed funds rate at 0.09
percent, the one-month Treasury constant
maturity at 0.10 percent, the
two-year at 0.13 percent and the ten-year at 0.63 percent. The causes of the financial crisis and global recession
were interest rate and housing subsidies and affordability policies that
encouraged high leverage and risks, low liquidity and unsound credit (Pelaez
and Pelaez, Financial Regulation after the Global Recession (2009a),
157-66, Regulation of Banks and Finance (2009b), 217-27, International
Financial Architecture (2005), 15-18, The Global Recession Risk
(2007), 221-5, Globalization and the State Vol. II (2008b), 197-213, Government
Intervention in Globalization (2008c), 182-4). Several past comments of
this blog elaborate on these arguments, among which: http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2011/07/causes-of-2007-creditdollar-crisis.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2011/01/professor-mckinnons-bubble-economy.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2011/01/world-inflation-quantitative-easing.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2011/01/treasury-yields-valuation-of-risk.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2010/11/quantitative-easing-theory-evidence-and.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2010/12/is-fed-printing-money-what-are.html
Gradual unwinding of 1 percent fed funds rates from
Jun 2003 to Jun 2004 by seventeen consecutive increases of 25 percentage points
from Jun 2004 to Jun 2006 to reach 5.25 percent caused default of subprime
mortgages and adjustable-rate mortgages linked to the overnight fed funds rate.
The zero-interest rate has penalized liquidity and increased risks by inducing
carry trades from zero interest rates to speculative positions in risk
financial assets. There is no exit from zero interest rates without provoking
another financial crash. The yields of Treasury securities inverted on
Mar 22, 2019 with the ten-year yield at 2.44 percent below those of 2.49
percent for one-month, 2.48 percent for two months, 2.46 percent for three
months, 2.48 percent for six months and 2.45 percent for one year (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield).
There was some flattening on Mar 29, 2019, with the 10-year at 2.41 percent,
the 1-month at 2.43 percent, the 3-month at 2.40 percent, the 6-month at 2.44
percent and the 1-year at 2.40 percent. There was further mild steepening on Apr
12, 2019, with the 10-year at 2.568 percent, the 1-month at 2.419 percent, the
3-month at 2.440 percent, the 6-month at 2.463 percent and the 1-year at 2.453
percent. The final segment after 2001 shows the effects of unconventional
monetary policy of extremely low, below inflation fed funds rate in lowering
yields. This was an important cause of the global recession and financial
crisis inducing as analyzed by Taylor (2018Oct 19, 2) “search for yield,
excessive risk taking, a boom and bust in the housing market, and eventually
the financial crisis and recession.” Monetary policy deviated from the Taylor
Rule (Taylor 2018Oct19 see Taylor 1993, 1997,
1998LB, 1999, 2012FP, 2012Mar27, 2012Mar28, 2012JMCB, 2019Oct19 and http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2017/01/rules-versus-discretionary-authorities.html http://cmpassocregulationblog.blogspot.com/2012/06/rules-versus-discretionary-authorities.html)). An explanation is
in the research of Adrian, Estrella and Shin (2018, 21-22): “Our findings
suggest that the monetary tightening of 2004-2006 period ultimately did achieve
a slowdown in real activity not because of its impact on the level of longer
term interest rates, but rather because of its impact on the slope of the yield
curve. In fact, while the level of the 10-year yield only increased 38 basis
points between June 2004 and 2006, the term spread declined 325 basis points
(from 3.44 to .19 percent). The fact that the slope flattened meant that intermediary
profitability was compressed, thus shifting the supply of credit, and hence
inducing changes in real activity. The 18 month lag between the end of the
tightening cycle, and the beginning of the recession is perfectly compatible
with effective monetary tightening.” See (https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html). A major difference in the current cycle is the balance
sheet of the Fed with purchases used to lower interest rates in specific
segments and maturities such as mortgage-backed securities and longer terms.
Chart III-1C, Yield US Ten-Year, Two-Year and One-Month
Treasury Constant Maturity Yields and Overnight Fed Funds Rate, Jan 3, 1962-Sep
3, 2020
Note: US Recessions in shaded areas
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/
The carry trade from zero interest rates to
leveraged positions in risk financial assets had proved strongest for commodity
exposures but US equities have regained leadership. On Aug 27, 2020, the Federal Open Market Committee changed its
Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, including the following (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/review-of-monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-statement-on-longer-run-goals-monetary-policy-strategy.htm): “The
Committee judges that longer-term inflation expectations that are well anchored
at 2 percent foster price stability and moderate long-term interest rates and
enhance the Committee's ability to promote maximum employment in the face of
significant economic disturbances. In order to anchor longer-term inflation expectations
at this level, the Committee seeks to achieve inflation that averages 2 percent
over time, and therefore judges that, following periods when inflation has been
running persistently below 2 percent, appropriate monetary policy will likely
aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time.” The new
policy can affect relative exchange rates depending on relative inflation rates
and country risk issues. The DJIA has increased 190.4 percent since the trough of the
sovereign debt crisis in Europe on Jul 16, 2010 to Sep 4, 2020; S&P 500 has
gained 235.1 percent and DAX 126.5 percent. Before the current round of risk
aversion, almost all assets in the column “∆% Trough to 09/04/20” in Table VI-4
had double digit gains relative to the trough around Jul 2, 2010 followed by
negative performance but now some valuations of equity indexes show varying
behavior. China’s Shanghai Composite is 40.8 percent above the trough. Japan’s Nikkei Average is 163.0 percent above
the trough. Dow Global is 79.4 percent above the trough. STOXX 50 of 50
blue-chip European equities (https://www.stoxx.com/index-details?symbol=sx5E) is 27.5
percent above the trough. NYSE Financial Index is 68.9 percent above the
trough. DAX index of German equities (http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/DAX:IND) is 126.5
percent above the trough. Japan’s Nikkei Average is 163.0 percent above the
trough on Aug 31, 2010 and 103.7 percent above the peak on Apr 5, 2010. The
Nikkei Average closed at 23,205.43 on Aug 4, 2020 (http://professional.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/marketsdata.html?mod=WSJ_PRO_hps_marketdata), which is 126.3
percent higher than 10,254.43 on Mar 11, 2011, on
the date of the Tōhoku or Great East Japan Earthquake/tsunami. Global risk
aversion erased the earlier gains of the Nikkei. The dollar appreciated 0.7
percent relative to the euro. The dollar devalued before the new bout of
sovereign risk issues in Europe. The column “∆% week to 09/04/20” in Table VI-4
shows decrease of 1.4 percent for China’s Shanghai Composite. The Nikkei increased
1.4 percent. NYSE Financial decreased 1.4 percent in the week. Dow Global decreased
1.8 percent in the week of Sep 4, 2020. The DJIA decreased 1.8 percent and
S&P 500 decreased 2.3 percent. DAX of Germany decreased 1.5 percent. STOXX
50 decreased 1.6 percent. The USD appreciated 0.6 percent. There are still high
uncertainties on European sovereign risks and banking soundness, US and world
growth slowdown and China’s growth tradeoffs. Sovereign problems in the
“periphery” of Europe and fears of slower growth in Asia and the US cause risk
aversion with trading caution instead of more aggressive risk exposures. There
is a fundamental change in Table VI-4 from the relatively upward trend with
oscillations since the sovereign risk event of Apr-Jul 2010. Performance is
best assessed in the column “∆% Peak to 09/04/20” that provides the percentage
change from the peak in Apr 2010 before the sovereign risk event to Sep 4,
2020. Most risk financial assets had gained not only relative to the trough as
shown in column “∆% Trough to 09/04/20” but also relative to the peak in column
“∆% Peak to 09/04/20.” There are now several equity indexes above the peak in
Table VI-4: DJIA 151.1 percent, S&P 500 181.5 percent, DAX 102.8 percent,
Dow Global 46.4 percent, NYSE Financial Index (https://www.nyse.com/quote/index/NYK.ID) 34.6 percent
and Nikkei Average 103.7 percent. STOXX 50 is 8.0 percent above the peak. Shanghai
Composite is 6.0 percent above the peak. The Shanghai Composite increased 69.9
percent from March 12, 2014, to Sep 4, 2020. The US dollar strengthened 21.7
percent relative to the peak. The factors of risk aversion have adversely
affected the performance of risk financial assets. The performance relative to
the peak in Apr 2010 is more important than the performance relative to the
trough around early Jul 2010 because improvement could signal that conditions
have returned to normal levels before European sovereign doubts in Apr 2010.
Table VI-4,
Stock Indexes, Commodities, Dollar and Ten-Year Treasury
|
Peak |
Trough |
∆% to
Trough |
∆% Peak to
09/04/ /20 |
∆% Week
09/04/20 |
∆% Trough to
09/04/ 20 |
DJIA |
4/26/ |
7/2/10 |
-13.6 |
151.1 |
-1.8 |
190.4 |
S&P
500 |
4/23/ |
7/20/ |
-16.0 |
181.5 |
-2.3 |
235.1 |
NYSE
Finance |
4/15/ |
7/2/10 |
-20.3 |
34.6 |
-1.4 |
68.9 |
Dow Global |
4/15/ |
7/2/10 |
-18.4 |
46.4 |
-1.8 |
79.4 |
Asia
Pacific |
4/15/ |
7/2/10 |
-12.5 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
Japan
Nikkei Aver. |
4/05/ |
8/31/ |
-22.5 |
103.7 |
1.4 |
163.0 |
China
Shang. |
4/15/ |
7/02 |
-24.7 |
6.0 |
-1.4 |
40.8 |
STOXX 50 |
4/15/10 |
7/2/10 |
-15.3 |
8.0 |
-1.6 |
27.5 |
DAX |
4/26/ |
5/25/ |
-10.5 |
102.8 |
-1.5 |
126.5 |
Dollar |
11/25 2009 |
6/7 |
21.2 |
21.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
DJ UBS
Comm. |
1/6/ |
7/2/10 |
-14.5 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
10-Year T
Note |
4/5/ |
4/6/10 |
3.986 |
2.784 |
2.658 |
0.722 |
T: trough;
Dollar: positive sign appreciation relative to euro (less dollars paid per
euro), negative sign depreciation relative to euro (more dollars paid per euro)
Source: http://professional.wsj.com/mdc/page/marketsdata.html?mod=WSJ_hps_marketdata
Bernanke (2010WP) and Yellen (2011AS)
reveal the emphasis of monetary policy on the impact of the rise of stock
market valuations in stimulating consumption by wealth effects on household
confidence. Table VI-5 shows a gain by Apr 29, 2011 in the DJIA of 14.3 percent
and of the S&P 500 of 12.5 percent since Apr 26, 2010, around the time when
sovereign risk issues in Europe began to be acknowledged in financial risk
asset valuations. The last row of Table VI-5 for Sep 4, 2020 shows that the
S&P 500 is now 182.7 percent above the Apr 26, 2010 level and the DJIA is 151.1
percent above the level on Apr 26, 2010. Multiple rounds of risk aversion
eroded earlier gains, showing that risk aversion can destroy market value even
with zero interest rates. Relaxed risk aversion has contributed to recovery of
valuations. Much the same as zero interest rates and quantitative easing have
not had any effects in recovering economic activity while distorting
financial markets and resources.
Table VI-5, Percentage Changes
of DJIA and S&P 500 in Selected Dates
|
∆% DJIA from prior
date |
∆% DJIA from |
∆% S&P 500 from prior
date |
∆% S&P 500 from |
Apr 26, 2010 |
|
|
|
|
May 06/10 |
-6.1 |
-6.1 |
-6.9 |
-6.9 |
May 26/10 |
-5.2 |
-10.9 |
-5.4 |
-11.9 |
Jun 08/10 |
-1.2 |
-11.3 |
2.1 |
-12.4 |
Jul 02/10 |
-2.6 |
-13.6 |
-3.8 |
-15.7 |
Aug 09/10 |
10.5 |
-4.3 |
10.3 |
-7.0 |
Aug 31/10 |
-6.4 |
-10.6 |
-6.9 |
-13.4 |
Nov 5/10 |
14.2 |
2.1 |
16.8 |
1.0 |
Nov 30/10 |
-3.8 |
-3.8 |
-3.7 |
-2.6 |
Dec 17/10 |
4.4 |
2.5 |
5.3 |
2.6 |
Dec 23/10 |
0.7 |
3.3 |
1.0 |
3.7 |
Dec 31/10 |
0.03 |
3.3 |
0.0 |
3.8 |
Jan 7, 2011 |
0.8 |
4.2 |
1.1 |
4.9 |
Jan 14/11 |
0.9 |
5.2 |
1.7 |
6.7 |
Jan 21/11 |
0.7 |
5.9 |
-0.8 |
5.9 |
Jan 28/11 |
-0.4 |
5.5 |
-0.5 |
5.3 |
Feb 04/11 |
2.3 |
7.9 |
2.7 |
8.1 |
Feb 11/11 |
1.5 |
9.5 |
1.4 |
9.7 |
Feb 18/11 |
0.9 |
10.6 |
1.0 |
10.8 |
Feb 25/11 |
-2.1 |
8.3 |
-1.7 |
8.9 |
Mar 4/11 |
0.3 |
8.6 |
0.1 |
9.0 |
Mar 11/11 |
-1.0 |
7.5 |
-1.3 |
7.6 |
Mar 18/11 |
-1.5 |
5.8 |
-1.9 |
5.5 |
Mar 25/11 |
3.1 |
9.1 |
2.7 |
8.4 |
Apr 01/11 |
1.3 |
10.5 |
1.4 |
9.9 |
Apr 08/11 |
0.03 |
10.5 |
-0.3 |
9.6 |
Apr 15/11 |
-0.3 |
10.1 |
-0.6 |
8.9 |
Apr 22/11 |
1.3 |
11.6 |
1.3 |
10.3 |
Apr 29/11 |
2.4 |
14.3 |
1.9 |
12.5 |
May 06/11 |
-1.3 |
12.8 |
-1.7 |
10.6 |
May 13/11 |
-0.3 |
12.4 |
-0.2 |
10.4 |
May 20/11 |
-0.7 |
11.7 |
-0.3 |
10.0 |
May 27/11 |
-0.6 |
11.0 |
-0.2 |
9.8 |
Jun 03/11 |
-2.3 |
8.4 |
-2.3 |
7.3 |
Jun 10/11 |
-1.6 |
6.7 |
-2.2 |
4.9 |
Jun 17/11 |
0.4 |
7.1 |
0.04 |
4.9 |
Jun 24/11 |
-0.6 |
6.5 |
-0.2 |
4.6 |
Jul 01/11 |
5.4 |
12.3 |
5.6 |
10.5 |
Jul 08/11 |
0.6 |
12.9 |
0.3 |
10.9 |
Jul 15/11 |
-1.4 |
11.4 |
-2.1 |
8.6 |
Jul 22/11 |
1.6 |
13.2 |
2.2 |
10.9 |
Jul 29/11 |
-4.2 |
8.4 |
-3.9 |
6.6 |
Aug 05/11 |
-5.8 |
2.1 |
-7.2 |
-1.0 |
Aug 12/11 |
-1.5 |
0.6 |
-1.7 |
-2.7 |
Aug 19/11 |
-4.0 |
-3.5 |
-4.7 |
-7.3 |
Aug 26/11 |
4.3 |
0.7 |
4.7 |
-2.9 |
Sep 02/11 |
-0.4 |
0.3 |
-0.2 |
-3.1 |
Sep 09/11 |
-2.2 |
-1.9 |
-1.7 |
-4.8 |
Sep 16/11 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
5.4 |
0.3 |
Sep 23/11 |
-6.4 |
-3.9 |
-6.5 |
-6.2 |
Sep 30/11 |
1.3 |
-2.6 |
-0.4 |
-6.7 |
Oct 7/11 |
1.7 |
-0.9 |
2.1 |
-4.7 |
Oct 14/11 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
5.9 |
1.0 |
Oct 21/11 |
1.4 |
5.4 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
Oct 28/11 |
3.6 |
9.2 |
3.8 |
6.0 |
Nov 04/11 |
-2.0 |
6.9 |
-2.5 |
3.4 |
Nov 11/11 |
1.4 |
8.5 |
0.8 |
4.3 |
Nov 18/11 |
-2.9 |
5.3 |
-3.8 |
0.3 |
Nov 25/11 |
-4.8 |
0.2 |
-4.7 |
-4.4 |
Dec 02/11 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
2.7 |
Dec 09/11 |
1.4 |
8.7 |
0.9 |
3.6 |
Dec 16/11 |
-2.6 |
5.9 |
-2.8 |
0.6 |
Dec 23/11 |
3.6 |
9.7 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
Dec 30/11 |
-0.6 |
9.0 |
-0.6 |
3.8 |
Jan 06 2012 |
1.2 |
10.3 |
1.6 |
5.4 |
Jan 13/12 |
0.5 |
10.9 |
0.9 |
6.4 |
Jan 20/12 |
2.4 |
13.5 |
2.0 |
8.5 |
Jan 27/12 |
-0.5 |
13.0 |
0.1 |
8.6 |
Feb 3/12 |
1.6 |
14.8 |
2.2 |
11.0 |
Feb 10/12 |
-0.5 |
14.2 |
-0.2 |
10.8 |
Feb 17/12 |
1.2 |
15.6 |
1.4 |
12.3 |
Feb 24/12 |
0.3 |
15.9 |
0.3 |
12.7 |
Mar 2/12 |
0.0 |
15.8 |
0.3 |
13.0 |
Mar 9/12 |
-0.4 |
15.3 |
0.1 |
13.1 |
Mar 16/12 |
2.4 |
18.1 |
2.4 |
15.9 |
Mar 23/12 |
-1.1 |
16.7 |
-0.5 |
15.3 |
Mar 30/12 |
1.0 |
17.9 |
0.8 |
16.2 |
Apr 6/12 |
-1.1 |
16.6 |
-0.7 |
15.3 |
Apr 13/12 |
-1.6 |
14.7 |
-2.0 |
13.1 |
Apr 20/12 |
1.4 |
16.3 |
0.6 |
13.7 |
Apr 27/12 |
1.5 |
18.1 |
1.8 |
15.8 |
May 4/12 |
-1.4 |
16.4 |
-2.3 |
12.9 |
May 11/12 |
-1.7 |
14.4 |
-1.1 |
11.7 |
May 18/12 |
-3.5 |
10.4 |
-4.3 |
6.4 |
May 25/12 |
0.7 |
11.2 |
1.7 |
8.7 |
Jun 01/12 |
-2.7 |
8.2 |
-3.0 |
5.4 |
Jun 08/12 |
3.6 |
12.0 |
3.7 |
9.4 |
Jun 15/12 |
1.7 |
13.9 |
1.3 |
10.8 |
Jun 22/12 |
-1.0 |
12.8 |
-0.6 |
10.1 |
Jun 29/12 |
1.9 |
14.9 |
2.0 |
12.4 |
Jul 06/12 |
-0.8 |
14.0 |
-0.5 |
11.8 |
Jul 13/12 |
0.0 |
14.0 |
0.2 |
11.9 |
Jul 20/12 |
0.4 |
14.4 |
0.4 |
12.4 |
Jul 27/12 |
2.0 |
16.7 |
1.7 |
14.3 |
Aug 03/12 |
0.2 |
16.9 |
0.4 |
14.8 |
Aug 10/12 |
0.9 |
17.9 |
1.1 |
16.0 |
Aug 17/12 |
0.5 |
18.5 |
0.9 |
17.0 |
Aug 24/12 |
-0.9 |
17.4 |
-0.5 |
16.4 |
Aug 31/12 |
-0.5 |
16.8 |
-0.3 |
16.0 |
Sep 07/12 |
1.6 |
18.8 |
2.2 |
18.6 |
Sep 14/12 |
2.2 |
21.3 |
1.90 |
20.9 |
Sep 21/12 |
-0.1 |
21.2 |
-0.4 |
20.5 |
Sep 28/12 |
-1.0 |
19.9 |
-1.3 |
18.9 |
Oct 05/12 |
1.3 |
21.5 |
1.4 |
20.5 |
Oct 12/12 |
-2.1 |
18.9 |
-2.2 |
17.9 |
Oct 19/12 |
0.1 |
19.1 |
0.3 |
18.3 |
Oct 26/12 |
-1.8 |
17.0 |
-1.5 |
16.5 |
Nov 02/12 |
-0.1 |
16.9 |
0.2 |
16.7 |
Nov 09/12 |
-2.1 |
14.4 |
-2.4 |
13.8 |
Nov 16/12 |
-1.8 |
12.3 |
-1.4 |
12.2 |
Nov 23/12 |
3.3 |
16.1 |
3.6 |
16.3 |
Nov 30/12 |
0.1 |
16.2 |
0.5 |
16.8 |
Dec 07/12 |
1.0 |
17.4 |
0.1 |
17.0 |
Dec 14/12 |
-0.2 |
17.2 |
-0.3 |
16.6 |
Dec 21/12 |
0.4 |
17.7 |
1.2 |
18.0 |
Dec 28/12 |
-1.9 |
15.5 |
-1.9 |
15.7 |
Jan 04, 2013 |
3.8 |
19.9 |
4.6 |
21.0 |
Jan 11/13 |
0.4 |
20.4 |
0.4 |
21.5 |
Jan 18/13 |
1.2 |
21.8 |
0.9 |
22.6 |
Jan 25/13 |
1.8 |
24.0 |
1.1 |
24.0 |
Feb 01/13 |
0.8 |
25.0 |
0.7 |
24.8 |
Feb 08/13 |
-0.1 |
24.9 |
0.3 |
25.2 |
Feb 15/13 |
-0.1 |
24.8 |
0.1 |
25.4 |
Feb 22/13 |
0.1 |
24.9 |
-0.3 |
25.0 |
Mar 1/13 |
0.6 |
25.7 |
0.2 |
25.3 |
Mar 8/13 |
2.2 |
28.5 |
2.2 |
28.0 |
Mar 15/13 |
0.8 |
29.5 |
0.6 |
28.8 |
Mar 22/13 |
0.0 |
29.5 |
-0.2 |
28.5 |
Mar 29/13 |
0.5 |
30.1 |
0.8 |
29.5 |
Apr 05/13 |
-0.1 |
30.0 |
-1.0 |
28.2 |
Apr 12/13 |
2.1 |
32.7 |
2.3 |
31.1 |
Apr 19/13 |
-2.1 |
29.8 |
-2.1 |
28.3 |
Aug 26/13 |
1.1 |
31.3 |
1.7 |
30.5 |
May 03/13 |
1.8 |
33.6 |
2.0 |
33.2 |
May 10/13 |
1.0 |
34.9 |
1.2 |
34.8 |
May 17/13 |
1.6 |
37.0 |
2.1 |
37.6 |
May 24/13 |
-0.3 |
36.6 |
-1.1 |
36.1 |
May 31/13 |
-1.2 |
34.9 |
-1.1 |
34.5 |
Jun 07/13 |
0.9 |
36.1 |
0.8 |
35.6 |
Jun 14/13 |
-1.2 |
34.5 |
-0.9 |
34.4 |
Jun 21/13 |
-1.8 |
32.1 |
-2.2 |
31.4 |
Jun 28/13 |
0.7 |
33.1 |
0.9 |
32.5 |
Jul 05/13 |
1.5 |
35.1 |
1.6 |
34.6 |
Jul 12/13 |
2.2 |
38.0 |
3.0 |
38.6 |
Jul 19/13 |
0.5 |
38.7 |
0.7 |
39.6 |
Jul 26/13 |
0.1 |
38.9 |
0.0 |
39.6 |
Aug 02/13 |
0.6 |
39.7 |
1.1 |
41.1 |
Aug 09/13 |
-1.5 |
37.7 |
-1.1 |
39.6 |
Aug 16/13 |
-2.2 |
34.6 |
-2.1 |
36.6 |
Aug 23/13 |
-0.5 |
34.0 |
0.5 |
37.2 |
Aug 30/13 |
-1.3 |
32.2 |
-1.8 |
34.7 |
Sep 06/13 |
0.8 |
33.2 |
1.4 |
36.6 |
Sep 13/13 |
3.0 |
37.2 |
2.0 |
39.3 |
Sep 20/13 |
0.5 |
37.9 |
1.3 |
41.1 |
Sep 27/13 |
-1.2 |
36.2 |
-1.1 |
39.6 |
Oct 04/13 |
-1.2 |
34.5 |
-0.1 |
39.5 |
Oct 11/13 |
1.1 |
36.0 |
0.8 |
40.5 |
Oct 18/13 |
1.1 |
37.4 |
2.4 |
43.9 |
Oct 25/13 |
1.1 |
39.0 |
0.9 |
45.2 |
Nov 01/13 |
0.3 |
39.4 |
0.1 |
45.3 |
Nov 08/13 |
0.9 |
40.7 |
0.5 |
46.1 |
Nov 15/13 |
1.3 |
42.5 |
1.6 |
48.4 |
Nov 22/13 |
0.6 |
43.4 |
0.4 |
48.9 |
Nov 29/13 |
0.1 |
43.6 |
0.1 |
49.0 |
Dec 06/13 |
-0.4 |
43.0 |
0.0 |
48.9 |
Dec 13/13 |
-1.7 |
40.6 |
-1.6 |
46.5 |
Dec 20/13 |
3.0 |
44.8 |
2.4 |
50.0 |
Dec 27/13 |
1.6 |
47.1 |
1.3 |
51.9 |
Jan 03, 2014 |
-0.1 |
47.0 |
-0.5 |
79.1 |
Jan 10/14 |
-0.2 |
46.7 |
0.6 |
52.0 |
Jan 17/14 |
0.1 |
46.9 |
-0.2 |
51.7 |
Jan 24/14 |
-3.5 |
41.7 |
-2.6 |
47.7 |
Jan 31/14 |
-1.1 |
40.1 |
-0.4 |
47.1 |
Feb 7/14 |
0.6 |
41.0 |
0.8 |
48.3 |
Feb 14/14 |
2.3 |
44.2 |
2.3 |
51.7 |
Feb 21/14 |
-0.3 |
43.7 |
-0.1 |
51.5 |
Feb 28/14 |
1.4 |
45.7 |
1.3 |
53.4 |
Mar 7/14 |
0.8 |
46.8 |
1.0 |
54.9 |
Mar 14/14 |
-2.4 |
43.4 |
-2.0 |
51.9 |
Mar 21/14 |
1.5 |
45.5 |
1.4 |
54.0 |
Mar 28/14 |
0.1 |
45.7 |
-0.5 |
53.3 |
Apr 04/14 |
0.5 |
46.5 |
0.4 |
53.9 |
Apr 11/14 |
-2.4 |
43.0 |
-2.6 |
49.8 |
Apr 17/14 |
2.4 |
46.4 |
2.7 |
53.9 |
Apr 25/14 |
-0.3 |
46.0 |
-0.1 |
53.7 |
May 02/14 |
0.9 |
47.4 |
1.0 |
55.2 |
May 09/14 |
0.4 |
48.0 |
-0.1 |
55.0 |
May 16, 14 |
-0.6 |
47.2 |
0.0 |
54.9 |
May 23, 14 |
0.7 |
48.2 |
1.2 |
56.8 |
May 30, 14 |
0.7 |
49.2 |
1.2 |
58.7 |
Jun 06, 14 |
1.2 |
51.0 |
1.3 |
60.8 |
Jun 13, 14 |
-0.9 |
49.7 |
-0.7 |
59.7 |
Jun 20, 14 |
1.0 |
51.2 |
1.4 |
61.9 |
Jun 27, 14 |
-0.6 |
50.4 |
-0.1 |
61.8 |
Jul 04, 14 |
1.3 |
52.3 |
1.2 |
63.8 |
Jul 11, 14 |
-0.7 |
51.2 |
-0.9 |
62.3 |
Jul 18, 14 |
0.9 |
52.6 |
0.5 |
63.2 |
Jul 25, 14 |
-0.8 |
51.4 |
0.0 |
63.2 |
Aug 1, 14 |
-2.8 |
47.2 |
-2.7 |
58.8 |
Aug 8, 14 |
0.4 |
47.7 |
0.3 |
59.4 |
Aug 15, 14 |
0.7 |
48.7 |
1.2 |
61.3 |
Aug 22, 14 |
2.0 |
51.7 |
1.7 |
64.1 |
Aug 29, 14 |
0.6 |
52.6 |
0.8 |
65.3 |
Sep 5, 14 |
0.2 |
52.9 |
0.2 |
65.6 |
Sep 12, 14 |
-0.9 |
51.6 |
-1.1 |
63.8 |
Sep 19, 14 |
1.7 |
54.2 |
1.3 |
65.9 |
Sep 26,14 |
-1.0 |
52.7 |
-1.4 |
63.6 |
Oct 3, 14 |
-0.6 |
51.8 |
-0.8 |
62.4 |
Oct 10, 14 |
-2.7 |
47.6 |
-3.1 |
57.3 |
Oct 17, 14 |
-1.0 |
46.2 |
-1.0 |
55.7 |
Oct 24, 14 |
2.6 |
50.0 |
4.1 |
62.1 |
Oct 31, 14 |
3.5 |
55.2 |
2.7 |
66.5 |
Nov 7, 14 |
1.1 |
56.8 |
0.7 |
67.6 |
Nov 14, 14 |
0.3 |
57.4 |
0.4 |
68.3 |
Nov 21,14 |
1.0 |
58.9 |
1.2 |
70.2 |
Nov 28, 14 |
0.1 |
59.1 |
0.2 |
70.6 |
Dec 5, 14 |
0.7 |
60.3 |
0.4 |
71.2 |
Dec 12, 14 |
-3.8 |
54.2 |
-3.5 |
65.2 |
Dec 19, 14 |
3.0 |
58.9 |
3.4 |
70.8 |
Dec 26, 14 |
1.4 |
61.1 |
0.9 |
72.3 |
Jan 02, 2015 |
-1.2 |
59.2 |
-1.5 |
69.8 |
Jan 09, 15 |
-0.5 |
58.3 |
-0.7 |
68.7 |
Jan 16, 15 |
-1.3 |
56.3 |
-1.2 |
66.6 |
Jan 23, 15 |
0.9 |
57.7 |
1.6 |
69.3 |
Jan 30, 15 |
-2.9 |
53.2 |
-2.8 |
64.6 |
Feb 06, 15 |
3.8 |
59.1 |
3.0 |
69.6 |
Feb 13, 15 |
1.1 |
60.8 |
2.0 |
73.0 |
Feb 20, 15 |
0.7 |
61.9 |
0.6 |
74.1 |
Feb 27, 15 |
0.0 |
61.8 |
-0.3 |
73.6 |
Feb 6, 15 |
-1.5 |
59.4 |
-1.6 |
70.9 |
Feb 13 15 |
-0.6 |
58.4 |
-0.9 |
69.4 |
Feb 20, 15 |
2.1 |
61.8 |
2.7 |
73.9 |
Feb 27, 15 |
-2.3 |
58.1 |
-2.2 |
70.0 |
Apr 03, 15 |
0.3 |
58.5 |
0.3 |
70.5 |
Apr 10, 15 |
1.7 |
61.2 |
1.7 |
73.4 |
Apr 17, 15 |
-1.3 |
59.1 |
-1.0 |
71.7 |
Apr 24, 2015 |
1.4 |
61.4 |
1.8 |
74.7 |
May 1, 2015 |
-0.3 |
60.9 |
-0.4 |
73.9 |
May 8, 2015 |
0.9 |
62.3 |
0.4 |
74.6 |
May 15, 2015 |
0.4 |
63.1 |
0.3 |
75.1 |
May 22, 2015 |
-0.2 |
62.7 |
0.2 |
75.4 |
May 29, 2015 |
-1.2 |
60.7 |
-0.9 |
73.9 |
Jun 5, 2015 |
-0.9 |
59.3 |
-0.7 |
72.7 |
Jun 12, 2015 |
0.3 |
59.7 |
0.1 |
72.8 |
Jun 19, 2015 |
0.7 |
60.8 |
0.8 |
74.1 |
Jun 26, 2015 |
-0.4 |
60.2 |
-0.4 |
73.4 |
Jul 3, 2015 |
-1.2 |
58.2 |
-1.2 |
71.3 |
Jul 10, 2015 |
0.2 |
58.5 |
0.0 |
71.3 |
Jul 17, 2015 |
1.8 |
61.4 |
2.4 |
75.5 |
Jul 24, 2015 |
-2.9 |
56.8 |
-2.2 |
71.6 |
Jul 31, 2015 |
0.7 |
57.9 |
1.2 |
73.6 |
Aug 7, 2015 |
-1.8 |
55.0 |
-1.2 |
71.4 |
Aug 14, 2015 |
0.6 |
56.0 |
0.7 |
72.6 |
Aug 21, 2015 |
-5.8 |
46.9 |
-5.8 |
62.6 |
Aug 28, 2015 |
1.1 |
48.5 |
0.9 |
64.1 |
Sep 4, 2015 |
-3.2 |
43.7 |
-3.4 |
58.5 |
Sep 11, 2015 |
2.1 |
46.7 |
2.1 |
61.8 |
Sep 18, 2015 |
-0.3 |
46.2 |
-0.2 |
61.5 |
Sep 25, 2015 |
-0.4 |
45.6 |
-1.4 |
59.3 |
Oct 2, 2015 |
1.0 |
47.0 |
1.0 |
70.1 |
Oct 9, 2015 |
3.7 |
52.5 |
3.3 |
66.2 |
Oct 16, 2015 |
0.8 |
53.6 |
0.9 |
67.7 |
Oct 23, 2015 |
2.5 |
57.5 |
2.1 |
71.2 |
Oct 30, 2015 |
0.1 |
57.6 |
0.2 |
71.6 |
Nov 6, 2015 |
0.4 |
59.8 |
1.0 |
73.2 |
Nov 13, 2015 |
-3.7 |
53.9 |
-3.6 |
66.9 |
Nov 20, 2015 |
3.4 |
59.1 |
3.3 |
72.4 |
Nov 27, 2015 |
-0.1 |
58.8 |
0.0 |
72.4 |
Dec 4, 2015 |
0.3 |
59.3 |
0.1 |
72.6 |
Dec 11, 2015 |
-3.3 |
54.1 |
-3.8 |
66.0 |
Dec 18, 2015 |
-0.8 |
52.9 |
-0.3 |
65.5 |
Dec 23, 2015 |
2.5 |
56.6 |
2.8 |
70.0 |
Dec 31, 2015 |
-0.7 |
55.5 |
-0.8 |
68.6 |
Jan 08, 2016 |
-6.2 |
45.9 |
-6.0 |
58.6 |
Jan 15, 2016 |
-2.2 |
42.7 |
-2.2 |
55.1 |
Jan 22, 2016 |
0.7 |
43.6 |
1.4 |
57.3 |
Jan 29, 2016 |
2.3 |
47.0 |
1.7 |
60.1 |
Feb 05, 2016 |
-1.6 |
44.6 |
-3.1 |
55.1 |
Feb 12, 2016 |
-1.4 |
42.6 |
-0.8 |
53.9 |
Feb 19, 2016 |
2.6 |
46.3 |
2.8 |
58.2 |
Feb 26, 2016 |
1.5 |
48.5 |
1.6 |
60.7 |
Mar 04, 2016 |
2.2 |
51.8 |
2.7 |
65.0 |
Mar 11, 2016 |
1.2 |
53.6 |
1.1 |
66.8 |
Mar 18, 2016 |
2.3 |
57.1 |
1.4 |
69.1 |
Mar 25, 2016 |
-0.5 |
56.3 |
-0.7 |
68.0 |
Apr 01, 2016 |
1.6 |
58.8 |
1.8 |
71.0 |
Apr 08, 2016 |
-1.2 |
56.9 |
-1.2 |
68.9 |
Apr 15, 2016 |
1.8 |
59.7 |
1.6 |
71.7 |
Apr 22, 2016 |
0.6 |
60.7 |
0.5 |
72.6 |
Apr 29, 2016 |
-1.3 |
58.6 |
-1.3 |
70.4 |
May 6, 2016 |
-0.2 |
58.3 |
-0.4 |
69.7 |
May 13, 2016 |
-1.2 |
56.5 |
-0.5 |
68.9 |
May 20, 2016 |
-0.2 |
56.2 |
0.3 |
69.3 |
May 27, 2016 |
2.1 |
59.5 |
2.3 |
73.2 |
Jun 03, 2016 |
-0.4 |
58.9 |
0.0 |
73.2 |
Jun 10, 2016 |
0.3 |
59.4 |
-0.1 |
72.9 |
Jun 17, 2016 |
-1.1 |
57.7 |
-1.2 |
70.9 |
Jun 24, 2016 |
-1.6 |
55.3 |
-1.6 |
68.1 |
Jul 01, 2016 |
3.2 |
60.2 |
3.2 |
73.5 |
Jul 08, 2016 |
1.1 |
62.0 |
1.3 |
75.7 |
Jul 15, 2016 |
2.0 |
65.3 |
1.5 |
78.4 |
Jul 22, 2016 |
0.3 |
65.7 |
0.6 |
79.5 |
Jul 29, 2016 |
-0.7 |
64.5 |
-0.1 |
79.3 |
Aug 05, 2016 |
0.6 |
65.5 |
0.4 |
80.1 |
Aug 12, 2016 |
0.2 |
65.8 |
0.1 |
80.2 |
Aug 19, 2016 |
-0.1 |
65.6 |
0.0 |
80.2 |
Aug 26, 2016 |
-0.8 |
64.2 |
-0.7 |
79.0 |
Sep 02, 2016 |
0.5 |
65.0 |
0.5 |
79.9 |
Sep 09, 2016 |
-2.2 |
61.4 |
-2.4 |
75.6 |
Sep 16, 2016 |
0.2 |
61.7 |
0.5 |
76.5 |
Sep 23, 2016 |
0.8 |
63.0 |
1.2 |
78.6 |
Sep 30, 2016 |
0.3 |
63.4 |
0.2 |
78.9 |
Oct 07, 2016 |
-0.4 |
62.8 |
-0.7 |
77.7 |
Oct 14, 2016 |
-0.6 |
61.9 |
-1.0 |
76.0 |
Oct 21, 2016 |
0.0 |
61.9 |
0.4 |
87.3 |
Oct 28, 2016 |
0.1 |
62.1 |
-0.7 |
75.4 |
Nov 04, 2016 |
-1.5 |
59.6 |
-1.9 |
72.0 |
Nov 11, 2016 |
5.4 |
68.2 |
3.8 |
78.6 |
Nov 18, 2016 |
0.1 |
68.4 |
0.8 |
94.8 |
Nov 25, 2016 |
1.5 |
70.9 |
1.4 |
82.6 |
Dec 02, 2016 |
0.1 |
71.1 |
-1.0 |
80.8 |
Dec 09, 2016 |
3.1 |
76.3 |
3.1 |
86.4 |
Dec 16, 2016 |
0.4 |
77.1 |
-0.1 |
86.3 |
Dec 23, 2016 |
0.5 |
77.9 |
0.3 |
86.8 |
Dec 30, 2016 |
-0.9 |
76.4 |
-1.1 |
84.7 |
Jan 06, 2017 |
1.0 |
78.2 |
1.7 |
87.9 |
Jan 13, 2017 |
-0.4 |
77.5 |
-0.1 |
87.7 |
Jan 20, 2017 |
-0.3 |
76.9 |
-0.1 |
122.1 |
Jan 27, 2017 |
1.3 |
79.3 |
1.0 |
89.3 |
Feb 03, 2017 |
-0.1 |
79.1 |
0.1 |
89.5 |
Feb 10, 2017 |
1.0 |
80.9 |
0.8 |
91.1 |
Feb 17, 2017 |
1.7 |
84.1 |
1.5 |
94.0 |
Feb 24, 2017 |
1.0 |
85.8 |
0.7 |
95.3 |
Mar 03, 2017 |
0.9 |
87.5 |
0.7 |
96.6 |
Mar 10, 2017 |
-0.5 |
86.5 |
-0.4 |
95.8 |
Mar 17, 2017 |
0.1 |
86.7 |
0.2 |
96.2 |
Mar 24, 2017 |
-1.5 |
83.8 |
-1.4 |
93.4 |
Mar 31, 2017 |
0.3 |
84.4 |
0.8 |
94.9 |
Apr 07, 2017 |
0.0 |
84.3 |
-0.3 |
94.3 |
Apr 14, 2017 |
-1.0 |
82.5 |
-1.1 |
92.1 |
Apr 21, 2017 |
0.5 |
83.4 |
0.8 |
93.8 |
Apr 28, 2017 |
1.9 |
86.9 |
1.5 |
96.7 |
May 05, 2017 |
0.3 |
87.5 |
0.6 |
98.0 |
May 12, 2017 |
-0.5 |
86.5 |
-0.3 |
97.3 |
Mar 19, 2017 |
-0.4 |
85.7 |
-0.4 |
96.5 |
Mar 26, 2017 |
1.3 |
88.1 |
1.4 |
99.3 |
Jun 02, 2017 |
0.6 |
89.3 |
1.0 |
101.2 |
Jun 09, 2017 |
0.3 |
89.8 |
-0.3 |
100.6 |
Jun 16, 2017 |
0.5 |
90.8 |
0.1 |
100.7 |
Jun 23, 2017 |
0.0 |
90.9 |
0.2 |
101.2 |
Jun 30, 2017 |
-0.2 |
90.5 |
-0.6 |
99.9 |
Jul 07, 2017 |
0.3 |
91.1 |
0.1 |
100.1 |
Jul 14, 2017 |
1.0 |
93.1 |
1.4 |
102.9 |
Jul 21, 2017 |
-0.3 |
92.6 |
0.5 |
104.0 |
Jul 28, 2017 |
1.2 |
94.8 |
0.0 |
104.0 |
Aug 04, 2017 |
1.2 |
97.2 |
0.2 |
104.4 |
Aug 11. 2017 |
-1.1 |
95.1 |
-1.4 |
101.4 |
Aug 18, 2017 |
-0.8 |
93.4 |
-0.6 |
100.1 |
Aug 25, 2017 |
0.6 |
94.7 |
0.7 |
101.6 |
Sep 01, 2017 |
0.8 |
96.2 |
1.4 |
104.3 |
Sep 08, 2017 |
-0.9 |
94.5 |
-0.6 |
103.1 |
Sep 15, 2017 |
2.2 |
98.7 |
1.6 |
106.3 |
Sep 22, 2017 |
0.4 |
99.5 |
0.1 |
106.4 |
Sep 29, 2017 |
0.2 |
100.0 |
0.7 |
107.9 |
Oct 06, 2017 |
1.6 |
103.2 |
1.2 |
110.3 |
Oct 13, 2017 |
0.4 |
104.1 |
0.2 |
110.6 |
Oct 20, 2017 |
2.0 |
108.2 |
0.9 |
112.5 |
Oct 27, 2017 |
0.5 |
109.1 |
0.2 |
113.0 |
Nov 03, 2017 |
0.4 |
110.1 |
0.3 |
113.5 |
Nov 10, 2017 |
-0.5 |
109.0 |
-0.2 |
113.1 |
Nov 17, 2017 |
-0.3 |
108.5 |
-0.1 |
112.8 |
Nov 24, 2017 |
0.9 |
110.2 |
0.9 |
114.7 |
Dec 01, 2017 |
2.9 |
116.3 |
1.5 |
118.0 |
Dec 08, 2017 |
0.4 |
117.1 |
0.4 |
118.8 |
Dec 15, 2017 |
1.3 |
120.0 |
0.9 |
120.8 |
Dec 22, 2017 |
0.4 |
120.9 |
0.3 |
121.4 |
Dec 29, 2017 |
-0.1 |
120.6 |
-0.4 |
120.6 |
Jan 05, 2018 |
2.3 |
125.8 |
2.6 |
126.3 |
Jan 12, 2018 |
2.0 |
130.3 |
1.6 |
129.9 |
Jan 19, 2018 |
1.0 |
132.7 |
0.9 |
131.9 |
Jan 26, 2018 |
2.1 |
137.5 |
2.2 |
137.0 |
Feb 02, 2018 |
-4.1 |
127.8 |
-3.9 |
127.9 |
Feb 09, 2018 |
-5.2 |
115.9 |
-5.2 |
116.1 |
Feb 16, 2018 |
4.3 |
125.1 |
4.3 |
125.4 |
Feb 23, 2018 |
0.4 |
125.9 |
0.6 |
126.7 |
Mar 02, 2018 |
-3.0 |
119.0 |
-2.0 |
122.0 |
Mar 09, 2018 |
3.3 |
126.1 |
3.5 |
129.9 |
Mar 16, 2018 |
-1.5 |
122.6 |
-1.2 |
127.1 |
Mar 23, 2018 |
-5.7 |
110.0 |
-6.0 |
113.5 |
Mar 30, 2018 |
2.4 |
115.1 |
2.0 |
117.9 |
Apr 06, 2018 |
-0.7 |
113.6 |
-1.4 |
114.9 |
Apr 13, 2018 |
1.8 |
117.4 |
2.0 |
119.2 |
Apr 20, 2018 |
0.4 |
118.3 |
0.5 |
120.3 |
Apr 27, 2018 |
-0.6 |
117.0 |
0.0 |
120.3 |
May 04, 2018 |
-0.2 |
116.5 |
-0.2 |
119.7 |
May 11, 2018 |
2.3 |
121.6 |
2.4 |
125.1 |
May 18, 2018 |
-0.5 |
120.6 |
-0.5 |
123.8 |
May 25, 2018 |
0.2 |
120.9 |
0.3 |
124.5 |
Jun 01, 2018 |
-0.5 |
119.9 |
0.5 |
125.6 |
Jun 08, 2018 |
2.8 |
125.9 |
2.4 |
130.9 |
Jun 15, 2018 |
-0.9 |
123.9 |
-0.7 |
129.3 |
Jun 22, 2018 |
-2.0 |
119.4 |
-0.9 |
127.3 |
Jun 29, 2018 |
-1.3 |
116.6 |
-1.3 |
124.3 |
Jul 06, 2018 |
0.8 |
118.3 |
1.5 |
127.7 |
Jul 13, 2018 |
2.3 |
123.3 |
1.5 |
131.1 |
Jul 20, 2018 |
0.2 |
123.6 |
0.0 |
131.2 |
Jul 27, 2018 |
1.6 |
127.1 |
0.6 |
132.6 |
Aug 03, 2018 |
0.0 |
127.2 |
0.8 |
134.3 |
Aug 10, 2018 |
-0.6 |
125.9 |
-0.2 |
133.8 |
Aug 17, 2018 |
1.4 |
129.1 |
0.6 |
135.1 |
Aug 24, 2018 |
0.5 |
130.2 |
0.9 |
137.2 |
Aug 31, 2018 |
0.7 |
131.7 |
0.9 |
139.4 |
Sep 07, 2018 |
-0.2 |
131.3 |
-1.0 |
136.9 |
Sep 14, 2018 |
0.9 |
133.4 |
1.2 |
139.7 |
Sep 21, 2018 |
2.3 |
138.7 |
0.8 |
141.7 |
Sep 28, 2018 |
-1.1 |
136.1 |
-0.5 |
140.4 |
Oct 05, 2018 |
0.0 |
136.0 |
-1.0 |
138.1 |
Oct 12, 2018 |
-4.2 |
126.1 |
-4.1 |
128.3 |
Oct 19, 2018 |
0.4 |
127.1 |
0.0 |
128.4 |
Oct 26, 2018 |
-3.0 |
120.3 |
-3.9 |
119.4 |
Nov 02, 2018 |
2.4 |
125.5 |
2.4 |
124.7 |
Nov 09, 2018 |
2.8 |
131.9 |
2.1 |
129.4 |
Nov 16, 2018 |
-2.2 |
126.8 |
-1.6 |
125.8 |
Nov 23, 2018 |
-4.4 |
116.7 |
-3.8 |
117.2 |
Nov 30, 2018 |
5.2 |
127.9 |
4.8 |
127.7 |
Dec 07, 2018 |
-4.5 |
117.7 |
-4.6 |
117.2 |
Dec 14, 2018 |
-1.2 |
115.1 |
-1.3 |
114.5 |
Dec 21, 2018 |
-6.9 |
100.3 |
-7.1 |
99.4 |
Dec 28, 2018 |
2.7 |
105.8 |
2.9 |
105.1 |
Jan 04, 2019 |
1.6 |
109.1 |
1.9 |
108.9 |
Jan 11, 2019 |
2.4 |
114.2 |
2.5 |
114.2 |
Jan 18, 2019 |
3.0 |
120.5 |
2.9 |
120.3 |
Jan 25, 2019 |
0.1 |
120.8 |
-0.2 |
119.9 |
Feb 01, 2019 |
1.3 |
123.7 |
1.6 |
123.3 |
Feb 08, 2019 |
0.2 |
124.1 |
0.0 |
123.4 |
Feb 15, 2019 |
3.1 |
131.0 |
2.5 |
129.0 |
Feb 22, 2019 |
0.6 |
132.3 |
0.6 |
130.4 |
Mar 01, 2019 |
0.0 |
132.3 |
0.4 |
131.3 |
Mar 08, 2019 |
-2.2 |
127.1 |
-2.2 |
126.3 |
Mar 15, 2019 |
1.6 |
130.7 |
2.9 |
132.9 |
Mar 22, 2019 |
-1.3 |
127.6 |
-0.8 |
131.1 |
Mar 29, 2019 |
1.7 |
131.4 |
1.2 |
133.9 |
Apr 05, 2019 |
1.9 |
135.8 |
2.1 |
138.7 |
Apr 12, 2019 |
0.0 |
135.7 |
0.5 |
139.9 |
Apr 19, 2019 |
0.6 |
137.0 |
-0.1 |
139.7 |
Apr 26, 2019 |
-0.1 |
136.9 |
1.2 |
142.6 |
May 03, 2019 |
-0.1 |
136.5 |
0.2 |
143.0 |
May 10, 2019 |
-2.1 |
131.5 |
-2.2 |
137.7 |
May 17, 2019 |
-0.7 |
129.9 |
-0.8 |
135.9 |
May 24, 2019 |
-0.7 |
128.3 |
-1.2 |
133.2 |
May 31, 2019 |
-3.0 |
121.5 |
-2.6 |
127.1 |
Jun 07, 2019 |
4.7 |
131.9 |
4.4 |
137.1 |
Jun 14, 2019 |
0.4 |
132.8 |
0.5 |
138.2 |
Jun 21, 2019 |
2.4 |
138.5 |
2.2 |
143.4 |
Jun 28, 2019 |
-0.4 |
137.4 |
-0.3 |
142.7 |
Jul 05, 2019 |
1.2 |
140.3 |
1.7 |
146.7 |
Jul 12, 2019 |
1.5 |
143.9 |
0.8 |
148.7 |
Jul 19, 2019 |
-0.7 |
142.3 |
-1.2 |
145.6 |
Jul 26, 2019 |
0.1 |
142.7 |
1.7 |
149.6 |
Aug 02, 2019 |
-2.6 |
136.4 |
-3.1 |
141.9 |
Aug 09, 2019 |
-0.7 |
134.6 |
-0.5 |
140.8 |
Aug 16, 2019 |
-1.5 |
131.0 |
-1.0 |
138.3 |
Aug 23, 2019 |
-1.0 |
128.7 |
-1.4 |
134.9 |
Aug 30, 2019 |
3.0 |
135.6 |
2.8 |
141.4 |
Sep 06, 2019 |
1.5 |
139.2 |
1.8 |
145.8 |
Sep 13, 2019 |
1.6 |
142.9 |
1.0 |
148.1 |
Sep 20, 2019 |
-1.0 |
140.4 |
-0.5 |
146.9 |
Sep 27, 2019 |
-0.4 |
139.4 |
-1.0 |
144.4 |
Oct 04, 2019 |
-0.9 |
137.2 |
-0.3 |
143.6 |
Oct 11, 2019 |
0.9 |
139.3 |
0.6 |
145.1 |
Oct 18, 2019 |
-0.2 |
138.9 |
0.5 |
146.4 |
Oct 25, 2019 |
0.7 |
140.6 |
1.2 |
149.4 |
Nov 01, 2019 |
1.4 |
144.1 |
1.5 |
153.0 |
Nov 08, 2019 |
1.2 |
147.0 |
0.9 |
155.2 |
Nov 15, 2019 |
1.2 |
149.9 |
0.9 |
157.5 |
Nov 22, 2019 |
-0.5 |
148.8 |
-0.3 |
156.6 |
Nov 29, 2019 |
0.6 |
150.3 |
1.0 |
159.1 |
Dec 06, 2019 |
-0.1 |
150.0 |
0.2 |
159.6 |
Dec 13, 2019 |
0.4 |
151.1 |
0.7 |
161.4 |
Dec 20, 2019 |
1.1 |
153.9 |
1.7 |
165.8 |
Dec 27, 2019 |
0.7 |
155.6 |
0.6 |
167.3 |
Jan 03, 2020 |
0.0 |
155.6 |
-0.2 |
166.9 |
Jan 10, 2020 |
0.7 |
157.2 |
0.9 |
169.4 |
Jan 17, 2020 |
1.8 |
161.9 |
2.0 |
174.7 |
Jan 24, 2020 |
-1.2 |
158.7 |
-1.0 |
171.9 |
Jan 31, 2020 |
-2.5 |
152.2 |
-2.1 |
166.1 |
Feb 07, 2020 |
3.0 |
159.7 |
3.2 |
174.6 |
Feb 14, 2020 |
1.0 |
162.4 |
1.6 |
178.9 |
Feb 21, 2020 |
-1.4 |
158.7 |
-1.3 |
175.4 |
Feb 28, 2020 |
-12.4 |
126.8 |
-11.5 |
143.7 |
Mar 06, 2020 |
1.8 |
130.8 |
0.6 |
145.2 |
Mar 13, 2020 |
-10.4 |
106.9 |
-8.8 |
123.7 |
Mar 20, 2020 |
-17.3 |
71.1 |
-15.0 |
90.2 |
Mar 27, 2020 |
12.8 |
93.1 |
10.3 |
109.7 |
Apr 03, 2020 |
-2.7 |
87.9 |
-2.1 |
105.3 |
Apr 10, 2020 |
12.7 |
111.7 |
12.1 |
130.2 |
Apr 17, 2020 |
2.2 |
116.4 |
3.0 |
137.2 |
Apr 24, 2020 |
-1.9 |
112.2 |
-1.3 |
134.0 |
May 01, 2020 |
-0.2 |
111.7 |
-0.2 |
133.5 |
May 08, 2020 |
2.6 |
117.1 |
3.5 |
141.7 |
May 15, 2020 |
-2.7 |
111.4 |
-2.3 |
126.3 |
May 22, 2020 |
3.3 |
118.3 |
3.2 |
143.8 |
May 29, 2020 |
3.8 |
126.5 |
3.0 |
151.2 |
Jun 05, 2020 |
6.8 |
142.0 |
4.9 |
163.5 |
Jun 12, 2020 |
-5.6 |
128.5 |
-4.8 |
150.9 |
Jun 19, 2020 |
1.0 |
130.9 |
1.9 |
155.6 |
Jun 26, 2020 |
-3.3 |
123.3 |
-2.9 |
148.3 |
Jul 03, 2020 |
3.2 |
130.5 |
4.0 |
158.2 |
Jul 10, 2020 |
1.0 |
132.7 |
1.8 |
162.8 |
Jul 17, 2020 |
2.3 |
138.0 |
1.2 |
166.1 |
Jul 24, 2020 |
-0.8 |
136.2 |
-0.3 |
`65.3 |
Jul 31, 2020 |
-0.2 |
135.9 |
1.7 |
169.9 |
Aug 07, 2020 |
3.8 |
144.8 |
2.5 |
176.5 |
Aug 14, 2020 |
1.8 |
149.3 |
0.6 |
178.3 |
Aug 21, 2020 |
0.0 |
149.3 |
0.7 |
180.3 |
Aug 28, 2020 |
2.6 |
155.7 |
3.3 |
189.4 |
Sep 04, 2020 |
-1.8 |
151.1 |
-2.3 |
182.7 |
Source:
http://professional.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/mdc_us_stocks.html?mod=mdc_topnav_2_3014
© Carlos M. Pelaez, 2009,
2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020.
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