Recovery without Hiring, Ten Million Fewer Full-time Jobs, Youth and Middle Age Unemployment, Job Creation, United States International Trade, World Cyclical Slow Growth and Global Recession Risk

Recovery without Hiring, Ten Million Fewer Full-time Jobs, Youth and Middle Age Unemployment, Job Creation, United States International Trade, World Cyclical Slow Growth and Global Recession Risk

©Carlos M Pelaez 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017.

I Recovery without Hiring

IA1 Hiring Collapse

IA2 Labor Underutilization

ICA3 Ten Million Fewer Full-time Jobs

IA4 Theory and Reality of Cyclical Slow Growth Not Secular Stagnation: Youth and Middle-Age Unemployment

II United States International Trade

III World Financial Turbulence

IIIA Financial Risks

IIIE Appendix Euro Zone Survival Risk

IIIF Appendix on Sovereign Bond Valuation

IV Global Inflation

V World Economic Slowdown

VA United States

VB Japan

VC China

VD Euro Area

VE Germany

VF France

VG Italy

VH United Kingdom

VI Valuation of Risk Financial Assets

VII Economic Indicators

VIII Interest Rates

IX Conclusion

References

Appendixes

Appendix I The Great Inflation

IIIB Appendix on Safe Haven Currencies

IIIC Appendix on Fiscal Compact

IIID Appendix on European Central Bank Large Scale Lender of Last Resort

IIIG Appendix on Deficit Financing of Growth and the Debt Crisis

IIIGA Monetary Policy with Deficit Financing of Economic Growth

IIIGB Adjustment during the Debt Crisis of the 1980s

©Carlos M Pelaez 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017.