United States Consumer Price Index

 

 

United States Consumer Price Index

I The Shutdown of the Government from December 22, 2018 to January 25, 2019

I United States Inflation

IB Long-term US Inflation

IC Current US Inflation

CANNOT UPLOAD CHARTS

NOTICE There is a shutdown of the government of the United States (An explanation of the shutdown is: https://www.crfb.org/papers/government-shutdowns-qa-everything-you-should-know). The Office of Personnel Management has issued “Guidance for Shutdown Furloughs (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/pay-leave/reference-materials/guidance-for-shutdown-furloughs-sep-28-2025/?). The shutdown will interrupt the critical data of the economy generated by the Bureau of Economic Analysis https://www.bea.gov/ on GDP and Personal Income and the Bureau of Labor Statistics https://www.bls.gov/ on Employment, Labor Market and Consumer/Producer prices. The Federal Reserve also must interrupt its industrial production report (G.17 October 17th release delayed

“The industrial production indexes that are published in the G.17 Statistical Release on Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization incorporate a range of data from other government agencies, the publication of which has been delayed as a result of the federal government shutdown. Consequently, the G.17 release will not be published as scheduled on October 17, 2025. The Federal Reserve will announce a publication date for the G.17 release after the publication dates of the necessary source data become available. https://www.federalreserve.gov/feeds/g17.html). There will be a long lag in updating the data even after the suspension of the shutdown in the future. The Wall Street Journal October 9, 2025, “Federal Government Recalls Workers to Produce Key Inflation Report.“ Inflation data are required for Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security. This blog can only be posted again after data updates are available.

CPI prices increased 3.0 percent in the 12 months ending in Sep 2025. The Annual Equivalent rate from Jul 2025 to Sep 2025 was 3.7 percent in the episode of shifting energy sources; and the monthly inflation rate of 0.3 percent annualizes at 3.7 percent. Energy Services Prices increased 6.4 Percent in 12 Months ending in Sep 2025, Decreased at Annual Equivalent 4.7 Percent in Jul 2025-Sep 2025 and decreased 0.7 Percent in Sep 2025 or minus 8.1 percent Annual Equivalent. Consumer at Home Food Prices increased 2.7 Percent in 12 Months Ending in Sep 2025 and increased at Annual Equivalent 3.2 Percent in Jul 2025-Sep 2025 and increased 0.3 Percent in Sep 2025 that annualizes at 3.7 Percent. US Manufacturing Underperforming Below Trend in the Lost Economic Cycle of the Global Recession with Economic Growth Underperforming Below Trend Worldwide, Stagflation, Global Recession Risk, Worldwide Fiscal, Monetary and External Imbalances, World Cyclical Slow Growth, and Government Intervention in Globalization, US Government Shutdown

Note: This Blog will post only one indicator of the US economy while we concentrate efforts in completing a book-length manuscript in the critically important subject of INFLATION.

Carlos M. Pelaez

© Carlos M. Pelaez, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.